Will BA.2 cause another COVID wave in the U.S.?

Additionally, current events can impact COVID-19 waves, and might be helpful in explaining why certain populations are seeing a rise in BA.2 cases while others aren’t. Some of the surges in Europe could currently or eventually be related to the war in Ukraine—and the resulting mass migration—Bernadette Bodin-Albala, PhD, MPH, director and founding dean of public health at University of California Irvine, told Health.com. “You have a lot of potential for variants or spread because you’ve got more vulnerable populations,” she said. Only around 35% of Ukrainians have been vaccinated.