Several epidemiologists said it was hard to expect the models to offer precise forecasts at this point because they rely on such uncertain inputs. “It’s like trying to repair a car while it’s still running,” said Andrew Noymer, an associate professor of public health at the University of California, Irvine.
What 5 coronavirus models say the next month will look like
The New York Times, April 22, 2020
April 22, 2020